October 21, 2011

Prepare for the worst

Pakistan is on its way to becoming a runaway nuclear rogue state, says N.V.Subramanian.

http://www.newsinsight.net/archivedebates/nat2.asp?recno=2209

19 October 2011: Pakistan's army chief, General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, has told his country's national assembly that the US has to think "ten times" before attacking the Haqqani network in North Waziristan. Members of the national assembly who heard Kayani say the army chief also warned that Pakistan was not Iraq or Afghanistan to be walked over by the United States.
Earlier in the week, Pakistan's defence minister, Ahmad Mukhtar, held out a different kind of threat to the United States. Protesting the increased drone attacks in North Waziristan, he said Pakistan's patience was running out. He added significantly that Pakistan was a responsible nuclear power and could not accept the killing of its people in such attacks.

What do these two statements of Ahmed Mukhtar and General Kayani taken together signify?
Obviously, in the hierarchy of the power structure in Pakistan, Kayani stands way above Ahmed Mukhtar. Mukhtar is not from the military, being a technocrat and a businessman. His background would make him pro-West and he was in the running for the prime-ministership which finally went to Yousaf Raza Gilani.

It might be suggested that Mukhtar overreached himself in speaking about Pakistan's deterrent in relation to the drone attacks in North Waziristan. The obvious construction on what he said would be that Pakistan would nuke the drone power, namely the United States. Since that cannot happen in mainland United States, its forces in Afghanistan would be vulnerable to Pakistani nukes. That would be literally what the defence minister meant.

This is crazy talk. Nobody speaks of nuking so casually although Pakistan has a history of nuclear sabre-rattling (in the late nineties) with India. Nobody dare utter such sentiments anyway in relation to the United States, certainly not anybody from the Pakistan establishment. The Al-Qaeda might do it. But the fact remains that the Pakistan defence minister, an experienced government hand, said as much.

And it becomes more significant after Kayani's tough talk in Pakistan's national assembly. The defence minister may still be a marginal player, although he isn't. But Kayani is Pakistan, so to speak. The real power-centre in Pakistan is the army, and Kayani heads it. He has lost his sheen after a US raid killed Osama Bin Laden in Abbottabad. But he is still powerful. Wounded but powerful.

His statement that the US would have to think ten times before launching a military strike in North Waziristan is a direct challenge to America. Never before have Pakistani differences with the US been framed in such bellicose terms. True, the US has come close to calling Pakistan a terror state. But for Pakistan to throw a return challenge is surprising.

How could Pakistan retaliate against the United States?
The first option is blocking supplies to the US troops in Afghanistan.
Retired Pakistani military officers are stoking public opinion in the North West against these supplies to US troops. Supplies have been blocked in the past. But it does not represent such a powerful lever as to stop US military moves in North Waziristan.
The second option is to commission attacks against principal US targets like its embassy in Kabul.
This was done last month by the Haqqani network in close collaboration with the ISI. Indeed, the motive of the attack becomes clear now. If the US attacks in North Waziristan, its key military and diplomatic assets in Afghanistan will come under fire.

You could argue that this has been Pakistan army/ ISI/ Haqqani network policy for years now. But it has received a boost in view of the imminent US withdrawal from Afghanistan. Kayani's national assembly statement may constitute a faster radicalization of Pakistani options against the US in Afghanistan.

At its worst, it may mean that all bets are off if the US attacks North Waziristan. It may be war. And if you insert the threat of the Pakistan defence minister, it could even mean employment of the nuclear option. Before it is dismissed as poppycock, Kayani and Ahmad Mukhtar should be asked to explain their respective articulations. And if they are serious, the world must prepare for the worst.
And this is that Pakistan is a short way from becoming a runaway rogue nuclear terror state.

N.V.Subramanian is Editor, www.NewsInsight.net, and writes internationally on strategic affairs.

9 comments:

Satish Chandra said...

Defending your country against the United States is to be "a runaway rogue nuclear terror state"? "Pakistan would nuke the drone power, namely the United States. Since that cannot happen in mainland United States .."?

Pakistan's new stance is because of the following:-
The following are posts I made on September 26 '11 on the Pakistan Defence Forum:-

Re: how to defend against a possible US invasion of Pakistan ?:
Pakistan can do what India has done; see [my] thread titled 'How India Will Win a Nuclear War With the United States Starting Now' in the India Defence forum. Briefly, India has said that its nuclear warheads have been emplaced -- by its special forces -- in various cities/countries including Washington and New York. The nuclear destruction of these two cities, with a warning that additional U.S. cities will be destroyed if there is any retaliation, is the first step in the implementation of India's National Security Doctrine. The only way the United States will be able to keep several additional cities from being destroyed is by doing nothing in return. Five years later India can finish the job with its coast-to-coast destruction. India's victory in this depends on destroying Washington and New York, with its nuclear warheads already emplaced in these cities, BEFORE the United States does any thing, with a warning that additional U. S. cities will be destroyed, with nuclear warheads already emplaced in them, if there is any retaliation. Note that only one nuclear warhead of about twenty kiloton per city is needed to do the job."

I have said (see my blog below):
"Indians as a rule are inferior Indian niggers unfit to talk about strategic matters, especially if it involves the White Master in any way, which it always does. That is why in his 'Mein Kampf' Adolf Hitler said "As for India, I would rather see India under the British than under any one else". It is not just that a handful of the British from half way around the world ruled India for centuries; a lot of other people from various countries did that for a thousand years before that.

A modern day Babar will start each day by killing a million Indians before breakfast every morning, though some think three million will be better (this number can be herded into fairly small extermination circles and then a neutron bomb exploded over them).

I am an Indian, but as far above the other Indians as they may be above cockroaches."

N. V. Subramanian is a good example of the inferior Indian niggers I have referred to above.

I am India's expert on strategic defence, the father of India's strategic program including the Integrated Guided Missile Development program and the world's greatest scientist (my biography can be found in Marquis' Who's Who in the World, 2011 and earlier editions). For more, see my blog titled 'Nuclear Supremacy For India Over U. S.' which can be found with a Yahoo/Google search with the title.

Satish Chandra said...

(Continued) The following that I have said is also relevant here:-
(The Hindu, September 20, 2011: The Hindu : Opinion / Lead : This threat is not just for the birds ):
"INDIA'S MILITARY CHIEFS LICK BOOTS OF THE WHITE MASTER. They should be licking my boots instead or they are headed for the compost heap. They did not mind licking the boots of George Fernandes who faked an inability to speak for several years to avoid having to answer for his collaboration in crimes against me and against India. Vajpayee is still faking an inability to speak for the same reason. I am infinitely better than either of them. I am India's expert in strategic defence, the father of India's strategic program including the Integrated Guided Missile Development Program, the world's greatest scientist (my biography is in Marquis' Who's Who in the World, 2011 and earlier editions) and India's legitimate ruler. JOIN INDIA'S WAR OF INDEPENDENCE, go to JoinIndiaWarOfIndependenceDOTblogspotDOTcom. There you will also find a reference to K. Subrahmanyam staging his fake death and fleeing to the United States to escape punishment for his crimes against me and sabotage of India's defence. A link there also shows him, along with the CIA Director Michael Hayden, coming on line on August 9, 2008 and offering to transfer one crore rupees into my account within 48 hours if I agree to cooperate with them. Less than a week after I wrote, on September 13 '11, that RAW -- which works as a branch of the CIA against India -- will have to be rubbed out and all its present and past employees killed, a former head of RAW, from 2007 to 2009, Ashok Chaturvedi has staged his fake death, at the age of 63, from 'multiple organ failure'. When I wrote about a former head of RAW, Vikram Sood, citing the white Christian headmaster of a missionary school he attended as the fount of all wisdom on various issues in a column in Hindustan Times and referring to Indians as worshippers of snakes and monkeys on a Times of India blog, this bugger Chaturvedi put in the media an 'expose' of himself and his wife using government aircraft to visit temples. A couple days ago, after ending his fake inability to speak, Fernandes had a video posted on Bharat-Rakshak showing him having a photograph of the Italian whore removed from a group of photographs, of former President Rajendra Prasad, etc., at the Constitution Club, demanding on what basis her photograph was put there (" because she is white?") because around September 11 '11 I had written "The head of the Strategic Forces Command is a Christian and now the head of the Indian Air Force is also a Christian, not to mention that the Defence Minister is a Christian as was his predecessor [Fernandes] -- motivated appointments, at the direction of the CIA, of armed forces chiefs who would be loyal to the Italian whore and to the white countries, expressly made to prevent India from emerging from slavery." But India's armed forces chiefs lick the boots of the White Master regardless of their religion."

Satish Chandra said...

(Continued) I said in the above post on Pakistan Defence Forum: "The point is that India's nuclear forces obey Satish Chandra; he does not need India's conventional forces or the rest of the government or citizenry to defend India. India's prime minister Manmohan Singh, an American boot-licker until now, avoided meeting the American president Obama while in New York to attend the U. N. General Assembly session last week and met Iran's president instead -- because of the fear of Satish Chandra. The point so far as this thread is concerned is that Pakistan does not need its conventional forces -- which in fact will be worthless against the United States -- to defend against the United States; it needs only its nuclear warheads -- it does not even need missiles -- emplaced by its special forces in Washington, New York and other U. S. cities, used in the manner I have prescribed in my earlier posts in this thread, for victory over the United States. "

September 27, 2011: After the above statements I made on September 26 '11, the United States has backed off from its threat to invade Pakistan ( Washington Post : "Adm. Mike Mullen’s assertion last week that an anti-American insurgent group in Afghanistan is a "veritable arm of Pakistan's spy service" was overstated and contributed to overheated reactions in Pakistan and misperceptions in Washington, according to American officials involved in U.S. policy in the region") but the reasons for the coast-to-coast destruction of the United States by India -- its crimes against India about one of which I have said 'The U. S. invasion of Afghanistan, a part of traditional India, whose ultimate aim is the occupation and overt colonial rule over the subcontinent as a whole, means the coast-to-coast destruction of the U. S. by India' -- remain and its coast- to coast destruction will proceed.

For more, see JoinIndiaWarOfIndependenceDOTblogspotDOTcom .

Satish Chandra said...

(Continued) In my press release dated October 20, 2011 I said:-

"OCTOBER 20, 2011 GADDAFI'S CRIME: FAILURE TO USE HIS WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION AGAINST WASHINGTON & NEW YORK BEFORE THE U. S. OR EUROPEAN COUNTRIES DID ANY THING AGAINST LIBYA:

The crimes of successive U. S. presidents are millions of times greater than any crimes Gaddafi may have committed. His only crime was failure to use his weapons of mass destruction against Washington & New York, with a warning that additional U. S. and European cities such as London & Paris will be destroyed if there is any retaliation, BEFORE the U. S. or other western countries did any thing against Libya."

I hope Pakistan realizes that it is not enough to say that Pakistan is a nuclear weapons state and the United States will have to think ten times before attacking Pakistan; through the drone attacks and in numerous other ways the United States is already attacking Pakistan; if Pakistan waits for the United States to escalate its attacks, it will be a grievous mistake; the key to victory over the United States is in destroying Washington and New York WITHOUT WAITING, with the warning that additional U. S. cities will be destroyed if there is any retaliation.

Anonymous said...

Satish Chandra, you are the most stupid person in the whole world.

Anonymous said...

Satish Chandra is obviously a Paki masquerading as an Indian as they do abroad. Nothing to be taken seriously from pukiland.

Anonymous said...

he is definitely a pakistani that why he is barking like a mad dog who is about to be shot

venky said...

Hi!!! porki pork asshole chandra!!!! you a re a paki in the guise of an indian sounding name!!!shame on you...you are too scared to put your original name like pakis sneaking into J&K in the garb of pigLeTs and killing innocent ppl!!! How pakis are born? Most pakis other than close Afghanistan ,are hindu indians whose ancestors were fckeud by legitimately or illegitimately by marauding Moguls and Arabs...

Anonymous said...

Satish, leaving a sensible comment is one thing but just venting out the hateful bile is another; go have a proper look at yourself in the mirror. As for your book or website its best left unread....