September 17, 2014

State of failure - Libyan government struggles to stem violence

Tribal forces from western Libya, allied with loyalists of former leader Muammar Ghaddafi and remnants of the former army, are fighting against a coalition of Islamist forces primarily from the coastal area between Misratah and Tripoli.
Limited military intervention in the conflict is likely by Algeria and Egypt, although this will be insufficient to turn the tide of the battle without arming the fighters on the ground.
The Libyan government is unlikely to recover its authority in the coming year, and in a best-case scenario will remain dependent on quasi-independent militias and remnants of the former army for several years to come.

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