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Showing posts from November 11, 2007


Source: SAAG By B.Raman Anger is a common root cause of all terrorism---ideological, ethnic, separatist, sectarian or religious. Terrorist organisations exploit the anger to motivate the members of the community from which they have arisen to support them in their acts of terrorism. Such support can be in the form of volunteers for committing acts of terrorism, contribution of funds, logistic support etc. Extreme anger in individuals can motivate them to resort to terrorism as individuals without their belonging to any organisation. Anger containment and ultimate reduction has, therefore, to be an important component of counter-terrorism. 2.Terrorists use the soft power of the media----old and new--- to keep the anger sustained and make it increase in order to maintain a high level of motivation. The role of soft power in counter-terrorism is to neutralise the motivation through anger containment and reduction. Use of disinformation is counter-produtive in counter-terrorism.

An intellectual loss Swapan Dasgupta 18 Nov 2007, 0000 hrs IST,SWAPAN DASGUPTA In 1956, after Soviet tanks rolled into Budapest and crushed the democracy movement in Hungary, Communist parties of Western Europe lost nearly one-third of their members. The exodus of those outraged by the Kremlin’s intolerance was described as ‘‘the revolt of the intellectuals.’’ The invasion of Hungary cost Communism its moral halo. The Soviet Union dissipated the goodwill it had generated during its battle against fascism. To many of the extremely talented individuals who became party members, fellow travellers and even Soviet spies in the 1930s, Communism became the ‘‘God that failed’’. By the time the Berlin Wall was breached in 1989, the Comrades in Moscow discovered they could no longer inspire a defence of the cause. The Bolshevik Revolution died unmourned - except in Cuba and West Bengal. It is intriguing that the wave of disillusionment bypassed Bengal. Barring hiccups bet

Pak Intell Community: Spy rings & Jehad

Proclamation of Emergency by Gen Musharraf marks the starting of next phase of 'Great Pakistan Democracy Drama' that was staged by General with a great genius and a sort of expertise which he has inherited from his seniors in Army who are well renowned in such tactics. Characters of this play have not only defined new standards of political acting and deceit but also better them on daily basis.Tactics used by Pakistani intelligence and 'Private or Independent Spy Rings'-a relatively new phenomenon- ran by likes of Lt.Gen Hamid Gul(most famous of these rings) and many many other former Intelligence Chiefs to create psychological impact on masses and their competitors is fast nearing perfection.This is modest starting of what will be a horrible phase in Pakistani and Islamic history. Things are very different behind the scenes from what is perceived in Western Media where Democracy talk consumes all the space.Real problem is not democracy.It does not matter to success i

The “People” in the PLA: Recruitment, Training, and Education in China’s 80-Year

The “People” in the PLA: Recruitment, Training, and Education in China’s 80-Year -Old Military Compiled by Justin B. Liang and Sarah K. Snyder The National Bureau of Asian Research KEY INSIGHTS: • China’s ideal “new type” of military officer is university educated and possesses the technical competence and physical ability to handle actual combat against a modern, high-tech adversary. • Driven by the understanding of the critical and integral role of soldiers to the success of military modernization, China’s professional military education (PME) system is undergoing rapid changes, focusing on science, technology, and the development of leadership skills. • Underpinning China’s drive towards a more high-tech military is the concept of “informatization” (xinxihua), a sophisticated idea about aligning capabilities and requirements in the face of an increasingly hybridized force. On September 28, 2007, more than 60 leading experts on China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) convened at

Where business is feeling the heat

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IRAN : Charges against Moussavian Already Proved

TEHRAN (Fars News Agency)- Iran's Intelligence Minister Gholam Hossein Mohseni Ezhehee said that his ministry has established facts substantiating leakage of the country's secret information by the former nuclear negotiator, Hossein Moussavian. "Moussavian has been charged with harming national security through leaking information to the aliens, including the British embassy in Tehran and he has been informed of his crimes since the very first day" Ezhehee told FNA, adding, "From the viewpoint of the intelligence ministry, these charges have been proved." Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said on Monday the judge verifying Moussavian's case was heavily pressured by some of his political foes to exonerate the spy and dismiss the case. Ahmadinejad said some of his political opponents inside the country had sent certain individuals abroad to leak Iran's nuclear and political information to the enemies of the Iranian nation in their

Venezuela's Chavez Blasts Spain's King

November 14th 2007, by Nikolas Kozloff - CounterPunch Spain's King Juan Carlos tells Venezuela's President Chavez to "Shut Up". It's been almost two hundred years since Venezuela first declared its independence from Spain, but over the past few days Hugo Chávez stoked Venezuelan nationalism again by attacking King Juan Carlos of Spain. The spat, which could damage diplomatic relations between the two nations, began over the weekend during a hemispheric summit held in Santiago, Chile, during which Chávez called ex-Spanish Prime Minister José María Aznar a "fascist." In one of his typical rhetorical flourishes, Chávez added, "fascists are not human. A snake is more human." Moving to damp down the escalating rhetoric, Spanish Prime Minister José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero then remarked: "[Former Prime Minister] Aznar was democratically elected by the Spanish people and was a legitimate representative of the Spanish people." Insensed, Chá

TURKEY : The missing link between procurement and war against the PKK

EQUILIBRIUM BY BURAK BEKDIL Source : Turkish Daily News Wednesday, November 14, 2007 Recently there has been too much talk over the political aspects of Turkey’s war against the PKK. Unspoken is the weaponry/procurement side of the war Burak BEKDİL Why do militaries buy weapons? To fight present and future security threats? Yes. How do they select the weaponry they buy? According to calculations based on what systems they would optimally need to fight present and future security threats (and of course with a view to budgetary constraints)? Yes, presumably. But not always, especially when there are serious failings in procurement systems. Recently there has been too much talk about the political aspect of Turkey's war against the outlawed Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK). The weaponry and procurement side of the war unspoken is. Helicopter gunship that never arrive In the mid 1990s, Turkey's military and civilian authorities that control the country's

Consultants Proxies in New Russian Oligarch Fight

Mikhail Friedman squared off against IPOC and then Oleg Deripaska took on Mihail Chernoy. Now a new battle between Russian oligarchs has broken out between Boris Berezovsky and Roman Abramovich The long and complicated feuds between oligarchs living in exile are being played out in courtrooms but also in the media. And each time consultants are also hired to act as proxies until the quarrels are resolved. Involving huge sums of money and facts that are hard to pin down because they took place in a tumultuous period in Russia, the stand-offs are never fully settled by the courts. The outcome depends largely on the capacity of consultants to modify the balance of power sufficiently between the two sides by manoeuvres and revelations to lead the combatants to the negotiating table. In a suit filed in May before Britain’s High Court, Boris Berezovsky accused Roman Abramovich of forcing him to sell his shares in the ORT television chain and then in the Sibneft oil company at bargain-basem

Storming the Caspian

Storming the Caspian 08/11/2007 As the five Caspian states - Azerbaijan, Iran, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Turkmenistan - are trying, with little success, to come to terms on the legal status of Caspian Sea, the region is gradually emerging as one of the most explosive parts of the world. Experts believe that tensions there could come to a head soon. In Washington's Cross Hairs The Caspian region is turning from a zone of diplomatic games into a military test site. The coastal states are actively building up their military presence: in the past decade, the number of warships on the Caspian has almost doubled, while coastal infrastructure is also being rapidly reinforced. Furthermore, "non-Caspian" countries, in particular the United States, have started demonstrating their interest and flexing their muscle in the area. Washington's foreign policy line in the Caspian region is geared toward several goals. Priority

Russia, EU still divided on trans-Siberian overflight charges

11:39 | 14/ 11/ 2007 MOSCOW. (Sergei Sokolov for RIA Novosti) - The Russia-EU aviation summit, slated for November 16-17 in Moscow, has been "postponed for an indefinite time" because of Moscow's reluctance to sign an agreement on trans-Siberian overflights. On November 8, the Russian Transport Ministry said the summit had been called off indefinitely. According to both Russian and European media, the European Commission, which had co-organized the summit, wants to punish Moscow for its intractability. Brussels has done everything possible to turn the issue of trans-Siberian overflight fees into a serious irritant in bilateral relations. The EU is regularly raising this purely technical issue at the highest level along with calls on Moscow to make concessions in the spheres of democracy, energy, human rights and Polish meat imports. It appears that EU Trade Commissioner Peter Mandelson cannot help over reacting at the mention of trans-Siberian overflight tax.

Why "Koodankulam Plus" Agreement was not Signed at Moscow?

Source: SAAG by B. Raman Prior to Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's just concluded 28-hour visit to Moscow on November 11-12, 2007, for talks with President Vladimir Putin and other Russian leaders, it was widely speculated in New Delhi that the visit would see the signing, inter alia, of a "Koodankulam Plus" agreement under which Russia would help India in setting up four more civilian nuclear power reactors at Koodankulam in southern Tamil Nadu. 2. These would be in addition to the two already under construction under an agreement signed by India and Russia in 1988. When work on the two reactors was about to start, the Clinton Administration in the US had strongly opposed it on the ground that even though the 1988 agreement was signed before the restrictions on civilian nuclear trade imposed by the Nuclear Supliers' Group (NSG) came into force, these restrictions would retrospectively apply to the 1988 Indo-Russian agreement too. The US contention was rejected

NIGERIA : Militants attack jetty in Akwa Ibom

Militants attack jetty in Akwa Ibom By Our Reporter Tuesday, November 13, 2007 Suspected militants, on Monday attacked Ibeno Jetty, in Eket Local Government Area of Akwa Ibom State. The militants overpowered some Navy personnel on location and snatched machine guns. They also blew up two police boats, while in the ensuing crossfire, a pregnant woman was killed. No group has claimed responsibility for the attack, although the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) had threatened to resume its onslaught in the region, after perceived official indifference to its demands for greater share of oil revenue and prioritized development of the states in the affected zone. Analysis: Nigeria sees al-Qaida oil threat Published: Nov. 12, 2007 at 2:40 PM Print story Email to a friend Font size:PORT HARCOURT, Nigeria, Nov. 12 (UPI) -- Nigerian Security officials say they foiled a terrorist plot that included bombing attacks by suspects linked to al-Qaida, officials said M

Azerbaijan: Heading off jihad

A spate of recent arrests and an alleged plot to attack on western embassies in Baku are alarming indicators of rising Islamic radicalization among Azerbaijan's disenfranchised ethnic minorities. While these groups appear to lack any concrete organization, the government's failure to address their needs and strengthen its democratic institutions could buy them enough time to become a much more serious threat. From ISA. By ISA Staff (14/11/07) Authorities in Azerbaijan have arrested an army lieutenant wanted in connection with an alleged terrorist plot targeting the US and British embassies and other facilities in Baku, according to local news reports. Lieutenant Kamran Asadov and another man were arrested on 9 November in a forest near Baku. Ten days prior to their arrest, the pair had reportedly stolen several thousand dollars worth of cash in a gas-station robbery. The authorities said the two had confessed to the terror plot. Earlier, on 2-3 November, the authorities arr

Georgia: Fading 'beacon of democracy'

In light of the Georgian government's clampdown on protesters, imposition of a state of emergency and call for early elections, it is time for an honest assessment of this 'beacon of democracy.' Image: WikipediaCommentary by Stacy Closson for ISN Security Watch (14/11/07) After the Georgian government clamped down on protesters, declared a 15-day state of emergency, and called for early presidential elections, western governments' support for the post-Rose Revolution victors seems under scrutiny. Are these developments just a blip on the road to democracy, or are these actions the culmination of years of violations perpetrated by the government, weakening its social contract with its citizens? Moreover, is a menacing Russia enough to justify the clampdown? The recent events caught many in the west by surprise. The majority of the western media coverage of Georgia and read-outs of meetings between the Georgian government and western officials have been positive.