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Showing posts from April 4, 2010

Russians See Foreign Financing of Attacks

This article appears in the April 9, 2010 issue of Executive Intelligence Review. April 4—Russian specialists, as well as the population at large, are looking intently at the factor of foreign funding of the ongoing spate of terrorist attacks on the country. This morning's bombing of a freight train in Dagestan was officially declared an act of terrorism. The LaRouche Political Action Committee release, " LaRouche: Look to British Intelligence Behind Moscow Bombings ," issued immediately after suicide bombers killed 29 people in the Moscow subway system, has been published in Russian on dozens of websites, blogs, and Internet forums, drawing mostly approving comments from many readers. Some of those joining the discussion cite the British role in instigating conflicts in the Caucasus, going back to the 19th Century. Speaking to the Rosbalt news agency on April 1, Vadim Mukhanov, a senior researcher at the Center for Caucasus Studies of the MGIMO (the Foreign Ministry

LUKoil continues its supplies to Iran

http://blog.lefigaro.fr/malbrunot/2010/04/petrole-lukoil-cesse-ses-fourn.html To avoid U.S. sanctions, the Russian oil company LUKoil has stopped its trade with Iran, including supplies of gasoline from its terminals in the Middle East and transporting crude from the Caspian Sea to the port Iran's Neka, announced today sources close to the Russian oil giant. Over the last three months, the commercial arm of LUKoil in Geneva Litasco had delivered at least a cargo of gasoline with a volume of 30 000 m3 to the Iranian port of Bandar Abbas. Only a half-dozen companies still provide gasoline to Iran, especially trading companies Vitol and Trafigura Switzerland. The pressure from the United States on Moscow to harden its position on the Iranian nuclear dossier So finally punch their weight. Russia is now more hostile to sanctions against Iran, suspected by the West to hide a nuclear program for military purposes. The United States and France hope to achieve in the coming weeks an agree

'A nuclear deal for Pakistan is sheer fantasy'

April 10, 2010 10:27 IST http://news.rediff.com/ interview/2010/apr/10/ interview-with-nuclear- security-expert-ashley-j- tellis.htm P rime Minister Manmohan Singh's [ Images ] presence at the first-ever Nuclear Security Summit hosted by United States President Barack Obama [ Images ], beginning April 12, will be key for 'critical substantive reasons', believes Dr Ashley J Tellis , an expert on nonproliferation and nuclear security matters. Tellis, a former official in the George W Bush [ Images ] administration at the State Department and the National Security Council, was closely involved in negotiating the India-US civilian nuclear agreement. In an interview with rediff.com 's Aziz Haniffa, he also talks about Pakistan's demand for a similar nuclear agreement with the US. A senior White House official recently said that Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's attendance at the Nuclear Security Summit will be the key to the success of the summit. Was this just hy

Back from China

http://blogs.lesechos.fr/article.php?id_article=3774 NOTE : This is a Google Translation [01/04/2010 - 12:00] Invited by the Chinese Academy of Sciences as part of its Einstein Chair, I spent several weeks in Beijing, to evaluate a large laboratory space, and I was able to share the daily life of my colleagues, although far off from normal. I have collected some impressions that I deliver in all humility. We know that the rate of growth of the Chinese economy resulting from the introduction since 1979 of the Western doctrine of high productivity and consumerism, that is ie the maximum use of natural resources through science and technology. The country's leaders, or rather the ruling class as a whole, are aware that current rates of development, as well as methods for manage the planet, are incompatible with the limited nature of these resources. We must find other engines of growth as those operating today. And it is the science that they place their hopes in a scientism

THESIS MONTH: Mercyhurst's graduate students in applied intelligence

http://sourcesandmethods.blogspot.com/2010/04/april-is-thesis-month-on-sam-original.html Mercyhurst's graduate students in applied intelligence did some extraordinary work last year and I have been negligent in not making their theses more widely known. With this apology/explanation in mind, I have decided to make April, "Thesis Month". My intent is to summarize and publicize as much of the good research done by our grad students over the next 30 days (or so) as I can. I will focus first on the theses where I was a reader since I know them best but I hope to shine some light on some of the student work done under the auspices of other readers as well. In order to pique your interest, here are a few of the topics covered by the grad students last year (It should make for some interesting reading): A Study Into The Size Of The World's Intelligence Industry Explicit Conceptual Models: Synthesizing Divergent and Convergent Thinking The Effectiveness of Multi-Criteria I

Arrogant Obama alienates friends

Swapan Dasgupta http://www.dailypioneer.com/248392/Arrogant-Obama-alienates-friends.html When Prime Minister Manmohan Singh sits with the assembled world leaders at the Nuclear Security Conference in Washington, DC, he should ponder over one notable absentee: Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Once the US’s most steadfast ally and a country with which it enjoyed a ‘special relationship’, Israel’s relationship with Washington has taken a precipitate nosedive. There are many who will undoubtedly view Netanyahu’s absence to Israeli evasion over its nuclear ambivalence. This may undoubtedly be a factor but Israel has in the past faced this ticklish question with a combination of deft diplomacy and nationalist brazenness. What is different about today’s Washington that made the otherwise pugnacious Netanyahu opt out of an important international gathering (although Israel will be nominally represented)? The answer is simple: President Barack Obama. In the past few months the i

PM may take up Headley access with Obama

Indrani Bagchi, TNN, Apr 11, 2010, 01.39am IST WASHINGTON: National security adviser Shivshankar Menon will push for direct Indian access to Pakistani-American LeT operative David Coleman Headley, during his meeting with his US counterpart, Gen James Jones, here this week. Given the profile the issue has acquired in India, it's likely that Prime Minister Manmohan Singh may also raise it with President Barack Obama himself. Sources said, while India acknowledges that there is a legal process the US will have to go through for the purpose, Menon will stress that Headley should be extradited to India. Since the 26/11 attacks, for which Headley has pleaded guilty, occurred in India, it made sense for him to be tried there. But, Indian officials are also clear the US wants to try him in their country. That is also part of the terms of Headley's plea bargain agreement. Short of extradition, India will ask for direct access to him, to answer questions that Indian investigator

Fallout of a New Great Game?

6 Apr 2010 http://www.isn.ethz.ch/isn/Current-Affairs/Security-Watch/Detail/?ots591=4888caa0-b3db-1461-98b9-e20e7b9c13d4&lng=en&id=114514 As Russia agrees to facilitate NATO resupply in Afghanistan, the Taliban and their sponsors worry about being hedged in by Moscow. In this light, it is possible that the recent bombings in Moscow are linked to a new Great Game, Dr Prem Mahadevan comments for ISN Security Watch. By Prem Mahadevan for ISN Security Watch Commentary on the Moscow bombings has focused on the likely involvement of Chechen ‘Black Widows,’ an angle which links the bombings to the Chechen separatist movement. However, there is an alternative explanation, which does not exclude the separatist dimension but subsumes it within a larger analytical framework, like a Russian doll. This is the possibility that Islamist terrorism in Russia is a by-product of an intelligence war over Central Asia - a modern day version of the Great Game. The ‘Great Game’ was a term used to d

Cyberwar: Concept, Status Quo, and Limitations

Political, economic, and military conflicts are increasingly also being carried out in cyberspace. However, conceptually, the notion of “cyberwar” only includes a narrow sub-section of all conflicts in cyberspace. At the operative level, capabilities for cyberwarfare are becoming increasingly important. Nevertheless, the prospects for strategic IT wars that only take place in the virtual space remain extremely unlikely. For many states, there is a particular need for action in the area of cyberdefence. © 2010 Center for Security Studies (CSS), ETH Zurich Download: English (PDF · 3 pages · 548 KB) Author: Myriam Dunn Cavelty Series: CSS Analysis in Security Policy

Opportunity and Peril in Kyrgyzstan

http://www.isn.ethz.ch/isn/Current-Affairs/Security-Watch/Detail/?lng=en&id=114710 The dramatic events in Kyrgyzstan, which have apparently led to the overthrow of the administration of President Kurmanbek Bakiev and the installation of a transitional regime, represent a significant diplomatic conundrum for Washington, Moscow and Beijing, Dr John CK Daly comments for ISN Security Watch. By John CK Daly for ISN Security Watch Bakiev reportedly has fled to the south of the country, and a provisional government under opposition leader and former foreign minister Roza Otunbayeva is preparing the country for a six-month interim government. The situation represents both opportunity and peril for the US, Russia and China, which share little in the way of common interests aside from seats on the UN Security Council. Ongoing chaos in Kyrgyzstan is not in their interest, however, and this may forge a common cause in improvising joint solutions to stabilize the new regime and put an end to t