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Showing posts from May 9, 2021

Experts react: EU and India clash on vaccines, make strides on trade

New Atlanticist   by   South Asia Center Related Experts:  Rudabeh Shahid,   Ajay Chhibber,   Mark Linscott,   Atman Trivedi,   Amber Jamil,   Anand Raghuraman European Council President Charles Michel participates in an online summit with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi during the EU summit round table meeting at the Crystal Palace. Photo by Dario Pignatelli/European Council via Reuters. On May 8, 2021, leaders from the European Union (EU) and India met virtually in Porto, Portugal, for the  EU-India Leaders’ Meeting . With an emphasis on shared interests, democratic values, and respect for human rights—a controversial issue given India’s recent democratic backslide—the meeting culminated in the renewal of free-trade negotiations, the start of two additional trade agreements, and a new  Connectivity Partnership . This represents a significant opportunity for India as the country is one of two with which the EU has concluded such a partnership. Here’s how our South Asia Center expe

FAST THINKING: How bad will Israeli-Palestinian violence get?

Fast Thinking   by   Atlantic Council Related Experts:  Tuqa Nusairat,   Jonathan H. Ferziger,   Shalom Lipner A Palestinian walks past a building destroyed by Israel airstrikes in Gaza on May 12, 2021. Photo via REUTERS/Suhaib Salem. GET UP TO SPEED A new conflict has erupted on an old battleground. Israeli  bombings of the Gaza Strip intensified today , following Hamas rocket attacks on Israel. It’s the worst outbreak of violence there in at least seven years and has left dozens dead, mostly in Gaza. The attacks follow weeks of tensions at the al-Aqsa mosque, Islam’s third-holiest site, and efforts by Israel to remove longtime Palestinian residents from the East Jerusalem neighborhood of Sheikh Jarrah. Protests in that neighborhood have now evolved into solidarity protests and rioting in cities and towns across Israel. Is an all-out war brewing? What does this mean for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s future? What role will regional and global powers now play in the confrontation?

Afghanistan: What now to avoid disaster?

New Atlanticist   by   James Cunningham, Hugo Llorens, Ronald E. Neumann, Richard Olson, and Earl Anthony Wayne Related Experts:  James B. Cunningham,   Earl Anthony Wayne Schoolchildren walk past an Afghan National Army soldier keeping watch at a checkpoint on the outskirts of Kabul, Afghanistan, on April 21, 2021. Photo by Mohammad Ismail/Reuters. Bitter fighting lies ahead in Afghanistan, with the coming withdrawal of all US and NATO forces from the country. The Afghan National Defense and Security Forces (ANDSF) will go from doing most of the fighting to all of it, as well as all of the dying, which they have already been doing in recent months. But as US President Joe Biden  has said , the United States still has interests worth supporting in the country, and there are actions the coalition must take rapidly to improve the chances that a twenty-year struggle will not end in complete defeat for the laudable aims the United States and its allies have pursued. The decision to withdra

US pipeline hack to make ransomware risks a priority

Oxford Analytica Thursday, May 13, 2021 US Colonial Pipeline’s operations have yet to be restored after last week’s crippling ransomware attack Updated:  Yesterday Toshiba ransomware attack is warning for large firms Source: Sophos State of Ransomware Report, April 2021 and Gigamon Zero Trust Survey 2020 Outlook Colonial Pipeline reportedly plans not to pay the USD5mn bitcoin-denominated ransom to the criminal hacking group DarkSide. The firm has restored from back-ups some of the 600 gigabytes of data stolen, but the hackers could release or sell the sensitive financial and personal data on the dark web, potentially facilitating future attacks. The hack’s technical details will influence wider corporate cybersecurity. DarkSide appears to have successfully used its standard toolkit -- phishing to gain remote access log-in details -- spotlighting Colonial Pipeline’s inadequate network security architecture and staff training. The US government will push for wider adoption of zero-trust

Sweden’s New Arctic Strategy: Change and Continuity in the Face of Rising Global Uncertainty

May 4, 2021 By  Nima Khorrami Article ,  Defense and Security ,  European Union ,  Politics and Strategy ,  Sweden Arctic environment ministers met in the world-famous ice hotel in Jukkasjärvi (Sweden) on 5-6 February 2013 for a meeting focused on actions to address the rapid environmental changes in the Arctic. Photo:  GRID-Arendal Announcing the release of her country’s latest Arctic Strategy during a press conference on September 29th, 2020, Swedish Foreing Minister, Ann Linde highlighted the region’s increased strategic importance and proclaimed that the new document reflects this changed status. 1) It is indeed a marked improvement over the country’s previous strategic dossier on the region. 2)  While affirming Stockholm’s commitment to its longstanding defence and security ties with the United States, the new document also highlights the importance of Germany, Canada, and, most importantly, the EU, as strategic partners for Stockholm and the pursuit of its interests in the Arctic

AUSTRALIA: War war war

China Neican , Briefing May 4 Something strange is afoot in Australia. There is an increasing talk of a possible war with China, including from the  Minister for Defence ,  Secretary of the Department of Home Affairs , and a  top general . There are not many places in the world where there is so much talk of a war with China. Let’s just remember a few things: China is not an existential threat to Australia. It will not physically invade Australia. Economic coercion is fundamentally different from kinetic warfare. The only feasible pathway for Australia to go to war with China is if it goes along with the US in its war with China. Yet talks of war are louder in Australia than in the US. If prospects of a US-China war are high, then Japan and South Korea, both US allies and host US military bases, should be more concerned than Australia. Yet, they are not. China and the US both have nuclear weapons. War against China will not be like the wars in Afghanistan or Iraq. On the first point, B

China Neican Brief: May 4th

China Neican Brief: May 4th, War talks, Port of Darwin, NZ Yun Jiang  and  Adam Ni May 6 Neican Brief is a weekly analysis of China-related current affairs. This series is made possible through the support from the Australian Centre on China in the World, Australian National University. Subscribe  to China Neican and join thousands of policymakers, researchers, and business and media professionals. If you are already a fan of what we do, please share it with your friends: Share China Neican 内参 1. May Fourth: complex legacy Tuesday marks the 102 anniversary of the May Fourth Movement.  On May Fourth 1919, thousands of students gathered in front of Tiananmen to protest the Treaty of Versailles. They were infuriated by the betrayal of the Allies (for granting Japan the German concessions in Shandong), and the weakness of the Chinese government. A 1976 painting by Liang Yulong celebrating the May Fourth Movement. Landsberger Collection, via  chineseposters.net The May Fourth Movement catal